What are the current surf conditions at Bajamar (El Lobo)?

Bajamar (El Lobo) currently has varying wave conditions. Check the live forecast above for real-time wave heights, wind conditions, and tide information updated every 6 hours.

What's the best time to surf Bajamar (El Lobo)?

The best time to surf Bajamar (El Lobo) is typically when swell comes from the N/A direction. Check the tide charts and wind forecasts above for optimal surfing conditions.

Bajamar (El Lobo) Surf Report & Forecast

San Cristóbal de La Laguna, Canarias

🏄 Get Live Updates

Real-time conditions, tide charts, and detailed forecasts.

Open SHAMAN App

🛰️ Satellite Map View

Loading satellite map...

Current Surf Conditions at Bajamar (El Lobo)

📦

Data Cache Status

Last Updated:Just now

Next Refresh:In 3 days

Fresh data (72h remaining)

Want real-time live data?

Create Free Account

🌊 Surf Quality Timeline (Week)

Best windows in green

Sun

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

SELECT DAY

10:00 AM UTC

Surf Quality: FAIR

12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM11 PM

SUN

🌊 Surf Quality Timeline

Best windows in green

12AM6AM12PM6PM11PM

🌬️ WIND

8
kt

🌊 SWELL

2
ft

🌊

SWELL
HEIGHT

2ft

🌊

SWELL
PERIOD

💨

WIND GUSTS

10kt

🌡️

AIR TEMP

21°C

🌊

SECONDARY
SWELL

1.3ft @
9s

🌧️

PRECIPITATION

0mm

SURF QUALITY

Fair conditions - still worth a paddle. Sweet 2.0ft waves with mixed swell with light 8kt winds Note: winds from SE would be better.

📡 Data Source

Choose your preferred weather data provider

📊 7-Day Detailed Forecast

Expandable daily forecasts with hourly details

Sunday

Aug 9

FAIR4 good hours

🌊 2.0-2.3ft 💨 5-9kt 🌡️ 21-22°C

Time	Quality	Swell Height	Period	Swell Dir	Wind Speed	Wind Dir	Gusts	Air Temp	Water Temp	Rain
12:00 AM	GOOD	2.3ft	6s	NNE	5kt	E	8kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
1:00 AM	GOOD	2.2ft	6s	NNE	6kt	ENE	8kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
2:00 AM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	6kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
3:00 AM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	6kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
4:00 AM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	6kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
5:00 AM	FAIR	2.1ft	6s	NNE	6kt	ENE	8kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
6:00 AM	FAIR	2.1ft	6s	NNE	6kt	ENE	8kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
7:00 AM	FAIR	2.1ft	6s	NNE	6kt	ENE	8kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
8:00 AM	FAIR	2.1ft	6s	NNE	7kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	23°C	0mm
9:00 AM	FAIR	2ft	6s	NNE	7kt	NE	9kt	21°C	23°C	0mm
10:00 AM	FAIR	2ft	6s	NNE	8kt	NE	10kt	21°C	23°C	0mm
11:00 AM	FAIR	2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	11kt	22°C	23°C	0mm
12:00 PM	FAIR	2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	11kt	22°C	23°C	0mm
1:00 PM	FAIR	2.1ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	11kt	22°C	23°C	0mm
2:00 PM	FAIR	2.1ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	11kt	22°C	24°C	0mm
3:00 PM	FAIR	2.1ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	22°C	24°C	0mm
4:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	22°C	24°C	0mm
5:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	22°C	24°C	0mm
6:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	8kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
7:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	8kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
8:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
9:00 PM	GOOD	2.3ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
10:00 PM	GOOD	2.3ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
11:00 PM	FAIR	2.3ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	24°C	0mm

Monday

Aug 10

FAIR2 good hours

🌊 1.6-2.8ft 💨 7-10kt 🌡️ 20-21°C

Time	Quality	Swell Height	Period	Swell Dir	Wind Speed	Wind Dir	Gusts	Air Temp	Water Temp	Rain
12:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
1:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
2:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	12kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
3:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	12kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
4:00 AM	FAIR	2.5ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	12kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
5:00 AM	FAIR	2.5ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	11kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
6:00 AM	FAIR	2.5ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
7:00 AM	FAIR	2.6ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
8:00 AM	FAIR	2.6ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
9:00 AM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
10:00 AM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
11:00 AM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	23°C	0mm
12:00 PM	FAIR	2.8ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	23°C	0mm
1:00 PM	FAIR	2.4ft	7s	N	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
2:00 PM	FAIR	2ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
3:00 PM	POOR	1.6ft	9s	N	10kt	NNE	11kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
4:00 PM	POOR	2ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
5:00 PM	FAIR	2.4ft	7s	N	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
6:00 PM	FAIR	2.8ft	6s	NNE	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
7:00 PM	FAIR	2.8ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
8:00 PM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
9:00 PM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	7kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
10:00 PM	GOOD	2.7ft	6s	NNE	7kt	ENE	9kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
11:00 PM	GOOD	2.8ft	6s	NNE	7kt	ENE	9kt	20°C	24°C	0mm

Tuesday

Aug 11

FAIR1 good hours

🌊 1.3-2.8ft 💨 7-10kt 🌡️ 20-21°C

Time	Quality	Swell Height	Period	Swell Dir	Wind Speed	Wind Dir	Gusts	Air Temp	Water Temp	Rain
12:00 AM	GOOD	2.8ft	6s	N	7kt	ENE	9kt	20°C	24°C	0mm
1:00 AM	FAIR	2.6ft	6s	N	8kt	ENE	9kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	6s	N	8kt	ENE	10kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 AM	FAIR	2.2ft	5s	N	8kt	ENE	10kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	6s	N	9kt	ENE	10kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 AM	FAIR	2.5ft	6s	N	9kt	NE	10kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 AM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	10kt	NE	11kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	6s	N	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 AM	FAIR	2.1ft	5s	N	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 AM	POOR	1.8ft	5s	NNW	7kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 AM	POOR	1.7ft	6s	NNW	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 AM	POOR	1.5ft	7s	N	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
12:00 PM	POOR	1.4ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 PM	POOR	1.4ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 PM	POOR	1.4ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 PM	POOR	1.4ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 PM	POOR	1.3ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 PM	FAIR	1.3ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 PM	FAIR	1.3ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 PM	POOR	1.6ft	7s	N	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 PM	POOR	1.9ft	6s	N	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm

Wednesday

Aug 12

FAIRCheck individual hours

🌊 1.7-2.7ft 💨 9-13kt 🌡️ 20-22°C

Time	Quality	Swell Height	Period	Swell Dir	Wind Speed	Wind Dir	Gusts	Air Temp	Water Temp	Rain
12:00 AM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 AM	FAIR	2.2ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 AM	FAIR	2.3ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	11kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 AM	FAIR	2.3ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	11kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 AM	FAIR	2.3ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	11kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 AM	FAIR	2.3ft	5s	NNE	10kt	ENE	11kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 AM	FAIR	2.3ft	5s	NNE	10kt	NE	10kt	20°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 AM	FAIR	2.1ft	7s	N	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 AM	FAIR	2ft	8s	NNW	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 AM	FAIR	1.8ft	9s	NW	10kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 AM	POOR	1.8ft	9s	NW	11kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 AM	POOR	1.7ft	9s	NW	12kt	NE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
12:00 PM	POOR	1.7ft	9s	WNW	13kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 PM	POOR	1.8ft	9s	NW	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 PM	POOR	1.9ft	10s	NW	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 PM	FAIR	2.1ft	10s	NW	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 PM	FAIR	2.1ft	10s	NW	11kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 PM	FAIR	2.1ft	10s	NW	11kt	NE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 PM	FAIR	2.1ft	10s	NW	10kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 PM	FAIR	2.3ft	8s	NNW	10kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 PM	FAIR	2.5ft	7s	N	9kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 PM	FAIR	2.6ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 PM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 PM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm

Thursday

Aug 13

POORCheck individual hours

🌊 1.8-3.1ft 💨 8-13kt 🌡️ 21-22°C

Time	Quality	Swell Height	Period	Swell Dir	Wind Speed	Wind Dir	Gusts	Air Temp	Water Temp	Rain
12:00 AM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 AM	FAIR	2.7ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 AM	POOR	2.8ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 AM	POOR	2.8ft	6s	NNE	11kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 AM	POOR	2.8ft	6s	NNE	11kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
5:00 AM	POOR	2.9ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
6:00 AM	POOR	2.9ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
7:00 AM	POOR	2.9ft	6s	NNE	11kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
8:00 AM	POOR	2.9ft	6s	NNE	11kt	NE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
9:00 AM	POOR	2.9ft	6s	NNE	11kt	NE	12kt	21°C	24°C	0mm
10:00 AM	POOR	2.6ft	7s	N	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 AM	POOR	2.2ft	8s	NNW	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
12:00 PM	POOR	1.9ft	9s	NW	13kt	NE	13kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 PM	POOR	1.8ft	9s	NW	13kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 PM	POOR	1.8ft	9s	NW	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 PM	POOR	1.8ft	9s	NW	11kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 PM	FAIR	2.2ft	8s	NNW	11kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 PM	FAIR	2.7ft	7s	N	10kt	NE	11kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 PM	FAIR	3.1ft	6s	NNE	9kt	NE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 PM	FAIR	3.1ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 PM	FAIR	3.1ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 PM	FAIR	3ft	6s	NNE	8kt	E	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 PM	FAIR	3ft	6s	NNE	8kt	E	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 PM	FAIR	3ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm

Friday

Aug 14

FAIR2 good hours

🌊 2.0-3.5ft 💨 7-12kt 🌡️ 21-22°C

Time	Quality	Swell Height	Period	Swell Dir	Wind Speed	Wind Dir	Gusts	Air Temp	Water Temp	Rain
12:00 AM	FAIR	3ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 AM	FAIR	3ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 AM	FAIR	3.1ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 AM	POOR	3.1ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	13kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 AM	FAIR	3.1ft	6s	NNE	10kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 AM	FAIR	3.2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 AM	FAIR	3.2ft	6s	NNE	8kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 AM	FAIR	3.2ft	6s	NNE	9kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 AM	FAIR	3.3ft	7s	NNE	9kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 AM	FAIR	3.3ft	7s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 AM	POOR	2.9ft	8s	N	10kt	NE	11kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 AM	FAIR	2.4ft	10s	N	11kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
12:00 PM	POOR	2ft	11s	NNW	12kt	NE	13kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 PM	FAIR	2.5ft	10s	NNW	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 PM	POOR	3ft	8s	N	12kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 PM	POOR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	11kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 PM	POOR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	11kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 PM	POOR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	11kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 PM	POOR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	10kt	NE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 PM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	10kt	ENE	12kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 PM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	9kt	ENE	12kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 PM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	E	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 PM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	7kt	ENE	11kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 PM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	7kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm

Saturday

Aug 15

GOOD10 good hours

🌊 3.4-3.6ft 💨 6-11kt 🌡️ 21-22°C

Time	Quality	Swell Height	Period	Swell Dir	Wind Speed	Wind Dir	Gusts	Air Temp	Water Temp	Rain
12:00 AM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	6kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 AM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	7kt	ENE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 AM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 AM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 AM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	ENE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 AM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	10kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 AM	GOOD	3.4ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 AM	GOOD	3.4ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 AM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 AM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 AM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	9kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 AM	FAIR	3.5ft	7s	NNE	9kt	NE	10kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
12:00 PM	FAIR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	10kt	NE	10kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
1:00 PM	POOR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	10kt	NE	10kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
2:00 PM	POOR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	10kt	NE	10kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
3:00 PM	POOR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	11kt	NE	11kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
4:00 PM	POOR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	11kt	NE	11kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
5:00 PM	POOR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	11kt	NE	11kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
6:00 PM	POOR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	11kt	NE	11kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
7:00 PM	FAIR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	10kt	NE	10kt	22°C	25°C	0mm
8:00 PM	FAIR	3.6ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
9:00 PM	GOOD	3.6ft	7s	NNE	7kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
10:00 PM	GOOD	3.6ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm
11:00 PM	GOOD	3.5ft	7s	NNE	8kt	NE	9kt	21°C	25°C	0mm

Forecast Summary

Best Day:Check forecast for optimal conditions

Average Swell:2.3ft @ 6s

Wind Conditions:5-10kt E

Water Temperature:23-24°C

Local Knowledge & Surf Guide

Local Knowledge

Bajamar (El Lobo) in Tenerife is an exposed point break that delivers very reliable surf, with autumn and winter being the most favorable times of year for waves. The spot relies primarily on groundswells, reaching peak performance at all stages of the tide when a west-northwest swell direction aligns with offshore winds blowing from the southeast. The location benefits from some natural shelter from east winds. While winter is the premier season overall for clean, rideable waves, the month of December historically offers the most consistent conditions. Lineups are unlikely to be too crowded even when the surf is up, though surfers and forecasters should exercise caution regarding the primary localized hazard of rocks.

Best Swell Direction: N/A

Bottom Type: Sand

Location: Town: San Cristóbal de La Laguna | Village: Bajamar | Neighborhood: Urbanización Altamira | State: Canarias | Country: España | Postcode: 38250 | Road: Carretera de La Laguna a Punta del Hidalgo | Full Address: Carretera de La Laguna a Punta del Hidalgo, Urbanización Altamira, Bajamar, San Cristóbal de La Laguna, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canarias, 38250, España

Ideal Conditions

This spot performs best under these specific conditions. Forecasts take these into account when rating surf quality.

Ideal Swell DirectionWNW

Ideal Wind DirectionSE

🌊 Tide Table

Loading tide data...

🌅 Sunrise & 🌙 Moon

Loading astronomy data...

🏄 Ready to Surf Bajamar (El Lobo)?

Get detailed forecasts, optimal timing, and safety information.

Launch SHAMAN App

Share this forecast